Statistiche / Calcio / Romania. Liga III - Serie 8 / Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare

Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare Statistics & Analysis

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Minaur Baia Mare Crişul Sântandrei ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7452383

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Crişul Sântandrei win · Crişul Sântandrei 1–0 Minaur Baia Mare
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 8
  • Fixture: Crişul Sântandrei vs Minaur Baia Mare
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Crişul Sântandrei 1.29 — Minaur Baia Mare 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 8 Liga III - Serie 8 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sânmartin 6 3 3 0 12
2 Minaur Baia Mare 5 4 0 1 12
3 SCM Zalău 5 3 1 1 10
4 Sănătatea Cluj 6 2 3 1 9
5 Viitorul Cluj 5 2 2 1 8
6 Sighetu Marmației 5 2 2 1 8
7 Bihorul Beiuş 5 2 2 1 8
8 Crişul Sântandrei 5 2 1 2 7
9 Academica Recea 5 2 0 3 6
10 Unirea Dej 5 1 0 4 3
11 Unirea Tășnad 5 0 2 3 2
12 Transilvania Sport Academy 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Sânmartin 6 14 6 +8 12
2 Minaur Baia Mare 5 12 4 +8 12
3 Academica Recea 5 11 13 -2 6
4 Viitorul Cluj 5 10 5 +5 8
5 SCM Zalău 5 9 3 +6 10
6 Sănătatea Cluj 6 9 4 +5 9
7 Sighetu Marmației 5 9 5 +4 8
8 Crişul Sântandrei 5 8 8 0 7
9 Bihorul Beiuş 5 5 4 +1 8
10 Unirea Dej 5 4 11 -7 3
11 Transilvania Sport Academy 5 4 20 -16 0
12 Unirea Tășnad 5 1 13 -12 2