Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Nera Bogodinţi Statistics & Analysis

Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii

Sep 18, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.34

1 1.26

xG Accuracy: 78%

Nera Bogodinţi

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 01:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8201001

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win · Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 2–1 Nera Bogodinţi

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 7
Fixture: Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Nera Bogodinţi
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
xG (showing): Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 1.34 — Nera Bogodinţi 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 7 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	CIL Blaj	6	5	1	0	16
2	Timişul Şag	6	4	1	1	13
3	Unirea Sântana	6	4	0	2	12
4	Unirea Alba Iulia	6	3	2	1	11
5	Cetate Deva	6	2	3	1	9
6	Viitorul Arad	6	2	3	1	9
7	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	6	2	3	1	9
8	Progresul Pecica	6	2	1	3	7
9	Metalurgistul Cugir	6	1	2	3	5
10	Universitatea Alba Iulia	6	0	3	3	3
11	Poli Timisoara 2	6	1	0	5	3
12	Nera Bogodinţi	6	0	1	5	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Unirea Alba Iulia	6	17	4	+13	11
2	CIL Blaj	6	16	9	+7	16
3	Unirea Sântana	6	13	4	+9	12
4	Cetate Deva	6	13	11	+2	9
5	Progresul Pecica	6	13	12	+1	7
6	Metalurgistul Cugir	6	9	11	-2	5
7	Timişul Şag	6	8	4	+4	13
8	Viitorul Arad	6	8	7	+1	9
9	Poli Timisoara 2	6	8	18	-10	3
10	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	6	7	7	0	9
11	Universitatea Alba Iulia	6	4	12	-8	3
12	Nera Bogodinţi	6	2	19	-17	1