Poli Timisoara 2 vs Cetate Deva Statistics & Analysis

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Poli Timisoara 2

Aug 28, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.32

4 1.28

xG Accuracy: 43%

Cetate Deva

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Poli Timisoara 2 Cetate Deva ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 25, 2026 · 01:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5389339

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Cetate Deva win · Poli Timisoara 2 1–4 Cetate Deva

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 7
Fixture: Poli Timisoara 2 vs Cetate Deva
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Poli Timisoara 2 1.32 — Cetate Deva 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 18, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 7 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	CIL Blaj	2	2	0	0	6
2	Cetate Deva	2	1	1	0	4
3	Progresul Pecica	2	1	1	0	4
4	Timişul Şag	2	1	1	0	4
5	Unirea Sântana	2	1	0	1	3
6	Unirea Alba Iulia	2	1	0	1	3
7	Universitatea Alba Iulia	2	0	2	0	2
8	Viitorul Arad	2	0	2	0	2
9	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	2	0	1	1	1
10	Metalurgistul Cugir	2	0	1	1	1
11	Nera Bogodinţi	2	0	1	1	1
12	Poli Timisoara 2	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Cetate Deva	2	5	2	+3	4
2	Progresul Pecica	2	5	2	+3	4
3	CIL Blaj	2	4	1	+3	6
4	Timişul Şag	2	3	1	+2	4
5	Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii	2	3	5	-2	1
6	Metalurgistul Cugir	2	3	5	-2	1
7	Poli Timisoara 2	2	3	9	-6	0
8	Unirea Sântana	2	2	1	+1	3
9	Unirea Alba Iulia	2	2	2	0	3
10	Universitatea Alba Iulia	2	2	2	0	2
11	Viitorul Arad	2	2	2	0	2
12	Nera Bogodinţi	2	0	2	-2	1