Păușești vs Unirea Bascov Statistics & Analysis

Păușești

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.29

1 1.31

xG Accuracy: 85%

Unirea Bascov

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Unirea Bascov Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 25, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5389224

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Păușești 1–1 Unirea Bascov

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga III - Serie 6
Fixture: Păușești vs Unirea Bascov
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
xG (showing): Păușești 1.29 — Unirea Bascov 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 6 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	6	4	1	1	13
2	CS U Craiova II	6	3	3	0	12
3	Minerul Lupeni	6	4	0	2	12
4	Filiași	6	3	2	1	11
5	CSM Târgu Jiu	6	3	2	1	11
6	Jiul Petroşani	6	3	1	2	10
7	Unirea Bascov	6	2	2	2	8
8	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	6	2	2	2	8
9	Oltul Curtișoara	6	2	0	4	6
10	Păușești	6	0	5	1	5
11	Academica Balș	6	1	0	5	3
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	6	0	0	6	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	CS U Craiova II	6	13	7	+6	12
2	Filiași	6	13	10	+3	11
3	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	6	12	5	+7	13
4	Unirea Bascov	6	11	8	+3	8
5	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	6	11	11	0	8
6	Jiul Petroşani	6	10	7	+3	10
7	CSM Târgu Jiu	6	9	6	+3	11
8	Oltul Curtișoara	6	8	13	-5	6
9	Minerul Lupeni	6	7	3	+4	12
10	Academica Balș	6	7	10	-3	3
11	Păușești	6	6	7	-1	5
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	6	2	22	-20	0