Minerul Lupeni vs Academica Balș Statistics & Analysis

Minerul Lupeni

Aug 29, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.36

0 1.24

xG Accuracy: 64%

Academica Balș

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Minerul Lupeni Minerul Lupeni ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 25, 2026 · 01:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5389198

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Minerul Lupeni win · Minerul Lupeni 1–0 Academica Balș

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 6
Fixture: Minerul Lupeni vs Academica Balș
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Minerul Lupeni 1.36 — Academica Balș 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 6 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	6	4	1	1	13
2	CS U Craiova II	6	3	3	0	12
3	Minerul Lupeni	6	4	0	2	12
4	Filiași	6	3	2	1	11
5	CSM Târgu Jiu	6	3	2	1	11
6	Jiul Petroşani	6	3	1	2	10
7	Unirea Bascov	6	2	2	2	8
8	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	6	2	2	2	8
9	Oltul Curtișoara	6	2	0	4	6
10	Păușești	6	0	5	1	5
11	Academica Balș	6	1	0	5	3
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	6	0	0	6	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	CS U Craiova II	6	13	7	+6	12
2	Filiași	6	13	10	+3	11
3	CS Drobeta-Turnu Severin	6	12	5	+7	13
4	Unirea Bascov	6	11	8	+3	8
5	Vulturii Fărcăşeşti	6	11	11	0	8
6	Jiul Petroşani	6	10	7	+3	10
7	CSM Târgu Jiu	6	9	6	+3	11
8	Oltul Curtișoara	6	8	13	-5	6
9	Minerul Lupeni	6	7	3	+4	12
10	Academica Balș	6	7	10	-3	3
11	Păușești	6	6	7	-1	5
12	Petrolul Hartiesti	6	2	22	-20	0