Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia Statistics & Analysis

Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.24

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 85%

Progresul Mogosoaia

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Progresul Mogosoaia Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228553

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 1–1 Progresul Mogosoaia

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga III - Serie 5
Fixture: Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu vs Progresul Mogosoaia
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu 1.24 — Progresul Mogosoaia 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

Esplora Altri Contenuti di Previsioni

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu & Progresul Mogosoaia!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora

Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 5 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Omega Sport	7	5	2	0	17
2	LPS HD Clinceni	7	4	2	1	14
3	Alexandria	7	4	2	1	14
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	7	3	4	0	13
5	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	7	4	0	3	12
6	Dunărea Turris	7	2	3	2	9
7	Progresul Mogosoaia	7	2	3	2	9
8	Dinamo Bucureşti II	7	3	0	4	9
9	Oxigen Bucuresti	7	2	1	4	7
10	Progresul Spartac	7	2	0	5	6
11	Voluntari II	7	1	1	5	4
12	FCSB II	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Dunărea Turris	7	19	11	+8	9
2	LPS HD Clinceni	7	18	11	+7	14
3	Alexandria	7	12	6	+6	14
4	Dunărea 2020 Giurgiu	7	12	7	+5	13
5	Omega Sport	7	9	4	+5	17
6	Progresul Spartac	7	9	9	0	6
7	Progresul Mogosoaia	7	9	11	-2	9
8	Oxigen Bucuresti	7	9	14	-5	7
9	Dinamo Bucureşti II	7	8	12	-4	9
10	FCSB II	7	7	22	-15	3
11	Axi Adunații-Copăceni	7	6	6	0	12
12	Voluntari II	7	6	11	-5	4