Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti Statistics & Analysis

Agricola Borcea

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

5 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 23%

Sporting Lieşti

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Agricola Borcea Agricola Borcea ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:40 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11228431

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Agricola Borcea win · Agricola Borcea 5–3 Sporting Lieşti

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 4
Fixture: Agricola Borcea vs Sporting Lieşti
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Agricola Borcea 1.32 — Sporting Lieşti 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 4 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Agricola Borcea	7	6	0	1	18
2	Agigea	7	4	2	1	14
3	Înainte Modelu	7	4	1	2	13
4	Axiopolis	7	4	1	2	13
5	Sporting Lieşti	7	4	0	3	12
6	Progresul Fundulea	7	4	0	3	12
7	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	7	4	0	3	12
8	Dunarea Calarasi	7	3	1	3	10
9	Unirea Braniștea	7	3	0	4	9
10	Gloria Băneasa	7	1	1	5	4
11	Portul Constanta	7	1	0	6	3
12	FC Oţelul II	7	1	0	6	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sporting Lieşti	7	24	16	+8	12
2	Agricola Borcea	7	19	9	+10	18
3	Progresul Fundulea	7	16	12	+4	12
4	Înainte Modelu	7	15	11	+4	13
5	Axiopolis	7	15	12	+3	13
6	Unirea Braniștea	7	13	12	+1	9
7	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	7	13	14	-1	12
8	Agigea	7	11	6	+5	14
9	Portul Constanta	7	11	18	-7	3
10	Dunarea Calarasi	7	7	10	-3	10
11	FC Oţelul II	7	6	20	-14	3
12	Gloria Băneasa	7	5	15	-10	4