Dunarea Calarasi vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja Statistics & Analysis

Dunarea Calarasi

Sep 11, 2026 - 14:00

0 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 43%

Recolta Gheorghe Doja

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Dunarea Calarasi Recolta Gheorghe Doja ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 05, 2026 · 01:21 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7026908

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Recolta Gheorghe Doja win · Dunarea Calarasi 0–3 Recolta Gheorghe Doja

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga III - Serie 4
Fixture: Dunarea Calarasi vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja
Kickoff: 2026-09-11 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Dunarea Calarasi 1.32 — Recolta Gheorghe Doja 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 4 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Agricola Borcea	6	5	0	1	15
2	Înainte Modelu	6	4	1	1	13
3	Agigea	6	4	1	1	13
4	Sporting Lieşti	6	4	0	2	12
5	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	6	4	0	2	12
6	Axiopolis	6	3	1	2	10
7	Progresul Fundulea	6	3	0	3	9
8	Dunarea Calarasi	6	3	0	3	9
9	Unirea Braniștea	6	2	0	4	6
10	Gloria Băneasa	6	1	1	4	4
11	Portul Constanta	6	1	0	5	3
12	FC Oţelul II	6	0	0	6	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Sporting Lieşti	6	21	11	+10	12
2	Înainte Modelu	6	15	10	+5	13
3	Agricola Borcea	6	14	6	+8	15
4	Progresul Fundulea	6	14	11	+3	9
5	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	6	12	11	+1	12
6	Axiopolis	6	12	11	+1	10
7	Unirea Braniștea	6	12	12	0	6
8	Agigea	6	11	6	+5	13
9	Portul Constanta	6	10	16	-6	3
10	Dunarea Calarasi	6	7	10	-3	9
11	Gloria Băneasa	6	4	13	-9	4
12	FC Oţelul II	6	4	19	-15	0