Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea Statistics & Analysis

Agricola Borcea

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

4 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 39%

Progresul Fundulea

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Agricola Borcea Agricola Borcea ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7451910

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Agricola Borcea win · Agricola Borcea 4–2 Progresul Fundulea

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga III - Serie 4
Fixture: Agricola Borcea vs Progresul Fundulea
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Agricola Borcea 1.32 — Progresul Fundulea 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 4 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Agricola Borcea	3	3	0	0	9
2	Axiopolis	3	2	1	0	7
3	Agigea	3	2	1	0	7
4	Înainte Modelu	3	2	1	0	7
5	Sporting Lieşti	3	2	0	1	6
6	Progresul Fundulea	3	2	0	1	6
7	Unirea Braniștea	3	1	0	2	3
8	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	3	1	0	2	3
9	Portul Constanta	3	1	0	2	3
10	Gloria Băneasa	3	0	1	2	1
11	Dunarea Calarasi	3	0	0	3	0
12	FC Oţelul II	3	0	0	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Agricola Borcea	3	8	2	+6	9
2	Sporting Lieşti	3	8	3	+5	6
3	Agigea	3	8	4	+4	7
4	Progresul Fundulea	3	7	5	+2	6
5	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	3	7	9	-2	3
6	Axiopolis	3	6	1	+5	7
7	Înainte Modelu	3	6	2	+4	7
8	Portul Constanta	3	6	9	-3	3
9	Unirea Braniștea	3	4	4	0	3
10	Gloria Băneasa	3	1	7	-6	1
11	FC Oţelul II	3	1	9	-8	0
12	Dunarea Calarasi	3	0	7	-7	0