Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II Statistics & Analysis

Progresul Fundulea

Sep 05, 2026 - 14:00

4 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 44%

FC Oţelul II

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Progresul Fundulea Progresul Fundulea ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6151226

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Progresul Fundulea win · Progresul Fundulea 4–1 FC Oţelul II

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 4
Fixture: Progresul Fundulea vs FC Oţelul II
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Progresul Fundulea 1.32 — FC Oţelul II 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 4 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Portul Constanta	1	1	0	0	3
2	Agricola Borcea	1	1	0	0	3
3	Agigea	1	1	0	0	3
4	Sporting Lieşti	1	1	0	0	3
5	Progresul Fundulea	1	1	0	0	3
6	Axiopolis	1	0	1	0	1
7	Înainte Modelu	1	0	1	0	1
8	Unirea Braniștea	1	0	0	1	0
9	Dunarea Calarasi	1	0	0	1	0
10	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	1	0	0	1	0
11	FC Oţelul II	1	0	0	1	0
12	Gloria Băneasa	1	0	0	1	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Portul Constanta	1	5	0	+5	3
2	Agigea	1	5	3	+2	3
3	Agricola Borcea	1	3	0	+3	3
4	Recolta Gheorghe Doja	1	3	5	-2	0
5	Sporting Lieşti	1	2	1	+1	3
6	Progresul Fundulea	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Axiopolis	1	1	1	0	1
8	Înainte Modelu	1	1	1	0	1
9	Unirea Braniștea	1	1	2	-1	0
10	Dunarea Calarasi	1	0	1	-1	0
11	FC Oţelul II	1	0	3	-3	0
12	Gloria Băneasa	1	0	5	-5	0