Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni Statistics & Analysis

Voința Crevedia

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

1 1.32

3 1.28

xG Accuracy: 57%

Flacăra Moreni

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Voința Crevedia Flacăra Moreni ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7451798

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Flacăra Moreni win · Voința Crevedia 1–3 Flacăra Moreni

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga III - Serie 3
Fixture: Voința Crevedia vs Flacăra Moreni
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Voința Crevedia 1.32 — Flacăra Moreni 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 3 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Flacăra Moreni	2	2	0	0	6
2	Berca	2	2	0	0	6
3	CS Tunari	2	2	0	0	6
4	Viitorul Corbeanca	2	1	1	0	4
5	Blejoi	2	1	0	1	3
6	Voința Crevedia	2	1	0	1	3
7	Progresul Draganesti	2	1	0	1	3
8	Plopeni	2	1	0	1	3
9	Râmnicu Sărat	2	0	1	1	1
10	Pucioasa	2	0	0	2	0
11	Păuleşti	2	0	0	2	0
12	Urban Titu	2	0	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Flacăra Moreni	2	8	2	+6	6
2	Berca	2	6	2	+4	6
3	CS Tunari	2	5	1	+4	6
4	Blejoi	2	5	4	+1	3
5	Voința Crevedia	2	3	3	0	3
6	Urban Titu	2	2	8	-6	0
7	Viitorul Corbeanca	2	1	0	+1	4
8	Progresul Draganesti	2	1	2	-1	3
9	Râmnicu Sărat	2	1	2	-1	1
10	Plopeni	2	1	3	-2	3
11	Pucioasa	2	0	2	-2	0
12	Păuleşti	2	0	4	-4	0