Berca vs CS Tunari Statistics & Analysis

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Berca

Sep 12, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 68%

CS Tunari

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Berca Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7451711

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Berca 2–2 CS Tunari

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga III - Serie 3
Fixture: Berca vs CS Tunari
Kickoff: 2026-09-12 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Berca 1.32 — CS Tunari 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga III - Serie 3 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Berca	5	4	1	0	13
2	Flacăra Moreni	5	4	1	0	13
3	CS Tunari	5	4	1	0	13
4	Voința Crevedia	5	2	1	2	7
5	Blejoi	5	2	1	2	7
6	Progresul Draganesti	5	2	1	2	7
7	Plopeni	5	2	0	3	6
8	Viitorul Corbeanca	5	1	2	2	5
9	Râmnicu Sărat	5	1	2	2	5
10	Urban Titu	5	1	1	3	4
11	Pucioasa	5	0	2	3	2
12	Păuleşti	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Berca	5	13	4	+9	13
2	Flacăra Moreni	5	13	4	+9	13
3	CS Tunari	5	12	3	+9	13
4	Voința Crevedia	5	12	9	+3	7
5	Blejoi	5	9	7	+2	7
6	Progresul Draganesti	5	6	8	-2	7
7	Râmnicu Sărat	5	5	9	-4	5
8	Plopeni	5	5	10	-5	6
9	Urban Titu	5	5	11	-6	4
10	Pucioasa	5	3	6	-3	2
11	Viitorul Corbeanca	5	1	4	-3	5
12	Păuleşti	5	1	10	-9	1