Statistiche / Calcio / Romania. Liga III - Serie 2 / Inter Sibiu vs Sepsi II

Inter Sibiu vs Sepsi II Statistics & Analysis

Sep 23, 2026 - 15:00
4 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 42%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Sepsi II Inter Sibiu ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9164921

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Inter Sibiu win · Inter Sibiu 4–1 Sepsi II
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 2
  • Fixture: Inter Sibiu vs Sepsi II
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-23 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Inter Sibiu 1.2 — Sepsi II 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 2 Liga III - Serie 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sepsi II 5 4 0 1 12
2 Olimpic Zărnești 5 4 0 1 12
3 Corona Braşov 5 3 2 0 11
4 Teleajenul 5 3 1 1 10
5 Inter Sibiu 5 3 0 2 9
6 Baicoi 5 2 3 0 9
7 ACS Mediaş 2022 5 2 2 1 8
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 5 1 3 1 6
9 Săcele 5 2 0 3 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 5 0 1 4 1
11 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 5 0 0 5 0
12 Carpati Covasna 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Corona Braşov 5 14 3 +11 11
2 Sepsi II 5 13 6 +7 12
3 Teleajenul 5 13 9 +4 10
4 Inter Sibiu 5 10 3 +7 9
5 ACS Mediaş 2022 5 10 6 +4 8
6 Olimpic Zărnești 5 10 8 +2 12
7 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 5 10 10 0 6
8 Baicoi 5 9 5 +4 9
9 Săcele 5 6 9 -3 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 5 4 14 -10 1
11 Carpati Covasna 5 4 21 -17 0
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 5 2 11 -9 0