Baicoi vs Inter Sibiu Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Baicoi Baicoi ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8689653

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Baicoi win · Baicoi 1–0 Inter Sibiu
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 2
  • Fixture: Baicoi vs Inter Sibiu
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Baicoi 1.32 — Inter Sibiu 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 2 Liga III - Serie 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Sepsi II 5 4 0 1 12
2 Olimpic Zărnești 5 4 0 1 12
3 Corona Braşov 5 3 2 0 11
4 Teleajenul 5 3 1 1 10
5 Inter Sibiu 5 3 0 2 9
6 Baicoi 5 2 3 0 9
7 ACS Mediaş 2022 5 2 2 1 8
8 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 5 1 3 1 6
9 Săcele 5 2 0 3 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 5 0 1 4 1
11 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 5 0 0 5 0
12 Carpati Covasna 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Corona Braşov 5 14 3 +11 11
2 Sepsi II 5 13 6 +7 12
3 Teleajenul 5 13 9 +4 10
4 Inter Sibiu 5 10 3 +7 9
5 ACS Mediaş 2022 5 10 6 +4 8
6 Olimpic Zărnești 5 10 8 +2 12
7 ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 5 10 10 0 6
8 Baicoi 5 9 5 +4 9
9 Săcele 5 6 9 -3 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 5 4 14 -10 1
11 Carpati Covasna 5 4 21 -17 0
12 Kids Tâmpa Braşov 5 2 11 -9 0