Statistiche / Calcio / Romania. Liga III - Serie 1 / Bradul Putna vs Paşcani

Bradul Putna vs Paşcani Statistics & Analysis

Sep 23, 2026 - 14:00
7 1.32
2 1.28
xG Accuracy: 17%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (9 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Bradul Putna Bradul Putna ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 7-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 16, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8987201

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bradul Putna win · Bradul Putna 7–2 Paşcani
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 1
  • Fixture: Bradul Putna vs Paşcani
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-22 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Bradul Putna 1.32 — Paşcani 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 1 Liga III - Serie 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 CSM FC Vaslui 5 4 1 0 13
2 USV Iaşi 5 4 1 0 13
3 CSM Adjud 5 3 1 1 10
4 FC Bacău II 5 3 1 1 10
5 Odorheiu Secuiesc 5 2 3 0 9
6 Bradul Putna 5 2 1 2 7
7 Gheorgheni 5 2 0 3 6
8 Aerostar Bacău 5 2 0 3 6
9 Târgu Secuiesc 5 1 2 2 5
10 Viitorul Curiţa 5 1 1 3 4
11 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 5 0 1 4 1
12 Paşcani 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bradul Putna 5 15 9 +6 7
2 CSM FC Vaslui 5 12 5 +7 13
3 Târgu Secuiesc 5 10 11 -1 5
4 Gheorgheni 5 9 9 0 6
5 CSM Adjud 5 8 6 +2 10
6 FC Bacău II 5 8 6 +2 10
7 Viitorul Curiţa 5 8 7 +1 4
8 USV Iaşi 5 7 3 +4 13
9 Odorheiu Secuiesc 5 6 3 +3 9
10 Paşcani 5 6 16 -10 0
11 Aerostar Bacău 5 5 8 -3 6
12 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 5 1 12 -11 1