Statistiche / Calcio / Romania. Liga III - Serie 1 / Viitorul Curiţa vs CSM Adjud

Viitorul Curiţa vs CSM Adjud Statistics & Analysis

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.45
2 1.15
xG Accuracy: 70%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Viitorul Curiţa CSM Adjud ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:24 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8689649

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result CSM Adjud win · Viitorul Curiţa 1–2 CSM Adjud
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga III - Serie 1
  • Fixture: Viitorul Curiţa vs CSM Adjud
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 42.4% · Draw 29.2% · Away 28.4%
  • xG (showing): Viitorul Curiţa 1.45 — CSM Adjud 1.15 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.9% · No 46.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga III - Serie 1 Liga III - Serie 1 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 CSM FC Vaslui 6 5 1 0 16
2 USV Iaşi 6 5 1 0 16
3 CSM Adjud 6 4 1 1 13
4 Odorheiu Secuiesc 6 2 4 0 10
5 FC Bacău II 6 3 1 2 10
6 Aerostar Bacău 6 3 0 3 9
7 Târgu Secuiesc 6 2 2 2 8
8 Bradul Putna 6 2 1 3 7
9 Gheorgheni 6 2 0 4 6
10 Viitorul Curiţa 6 1 1 4 4
11 Paşcani 6 0 1 5 1
12 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Bradul Putna 6 16 12 +4 7
2 CSM FC Vaslui 6 15 6 +9 16
3 CSM Adjud 6 14 6 +8 13
4 Târgu Secuiesc 6 13 12 +1 8
5 USV Iaşi 6 9 3 +6 16
6 Viitorul Curiţa 6 9 10 -1 4
7 Gheorgheni 6 9 11 -2 6
8 Aerostar Bacău 6 8 8 0 9
9 FC Bacău II 6 8 12 -4 10
10 Odorheiu Secuiesc 6 7 4 +3 10
11 Paşcani 6 7 17 -10 1
12 Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 6 1 15 -14 1