Statistiche / Calcio / Iran. Campionato Azadegan / Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman

Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman Statistics & Analysis

Oct 05, 2026 - 11:30
0 1.21
0 1.39
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Mes Kerman Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11670389

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Niroye Zamini 0–0 Mes Kerman
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Campionato Azadegan
  • Fixture: Niroye Zamini vs Mes Kerman
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-05 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Niroye Zamini 1.21 — Mes Kerman 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
  • Model: 54.3% · Implied: 39.1% · Probability edge: +15.2 pts · Est. EV: +27.1%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Azadegan Campionato Azadegan — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Saipa 4 3 0 1 9
2 Pars Jonoubi JAM 4 2 2 0 8
3 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 2 0 8
4 Be'sat Kermanshah 4 2 1 1 7
5 Naft Masjed Soleyman 4 2 0 2 6
6 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 1 3 0 6
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 1 3 0 6
8 Ario Eslamshahr 4 2 0 2 6
9 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 1 2 1 5
10 Fard Alborz 4 1 2 1 5
11 Niroye Zamini 4 1 1 2 4
12 Novin Ahvaz 4 0 3 1 3
13 Mes Kerman 4 0 3 1 3
14 Naft Gachsaran 4 0 3 1 3
15 Mes Soongoun 4 0 2 2 2
16 Havadar 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Naft Masjed Soleyman 4 6 4 +2 6
2 Be'sat Kermanshah 4 5 2 +3 7
3 Saipa 4 5 3 +2 9
4 Shahin Bandar Ameri 4 5 3 +2 6
5 Novin Ahvaz 4 5 6 -1 3
6 Pars Jonoubi JAM 4 4 2 +2 8
7 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 4 3 2 +1 6
8 Naft Bandar Abbas 4 3 3 0 5
9 Ario Eslamshahr 4 3 4 -1 6
10 Mes Rafsanjan 4 2 0 +2 8
11 Fard Alborz 4 2 2 0 5
12 Niroye Zamini 4 2 3 -1 4
13 Mes Kerman 4 2 3 -1 3
14 Naft Gachsaran 4 1 2 -1 3
15 Mes Soongoun 4 1 4 -3 2
16 Havadar 4 0 6 -6 1