Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz Statistics & Analysis

Naft Masjed Soleyman

Oct 04, 2026 - 15:30

1 1.25

0 1.35

xG Accuracy: 64%

Fard Alborz

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Fard Alborz Naft Masjed Soleyman ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11682712

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Naft Masjed Soleyman win · Naft Masjed Soleyman 1–0 Fard Alborz

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Campionato Azadegan
Fixture: Naft Masjed Soleyman vs Fard Alborz
Kickoff: 2026-10-04 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
xG (showing): Naft Masjed Soleyman 1.25 — Fard Alborz 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.5% · Implied: 39.1% · Probability edge: +15.4 pts · Est. EV: +27.5%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Azadegan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Saipa	4	3	0	1	9
2	Pars Jonoubi JAM	4	2	2	0	8
3	Mes Rafsanjan	4	2	2	0	8
4	Be'sat Kermanshah	4	2	1	1	7
5	Naft Masjed Soleyman	4	2	0	2	6
6	Shahin Bandar Ameri	4	1	3	0	6
7	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	4	1	3	0	6
8	Ario Eslamshahr	4	2	0	2	6
9	Naft Bandar Abbas	4	1	2	1	5
10	Fard Alborz	4	1	2	1	5
11	Niroye Zamini	4	1	1	2	4
12	Novin Ahvaz	4	0	3	1	3
13	Mes Kerman	4	0	3	1	3
14	Naft Gachsaran	4	0	3	1	3
15	Mes Soongoun	4	0	2	2	2
16	Havadar	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Naft Masjed Soleyman	4	6	4	+2	6
2	Be'sat Kermanshah	4	5	2	+3	7
3	Saipa	4	5	3	+2	9
4	Shahin Bandar Ameri	4	5	3	+2	6
5	Novin Ahvaz	4	5	6	-1	3
6	Pars Jonoubi JAM	4	4	2	+2	8
7	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	4	3	2	+1	6
8	Naft Bandar Abbas	4	3	3	0	5
9	Ario Eslamshahr	4	3	4	-1	6
10	Mes Rafsanjan	4	2	0	+2	8
11	Fard Alborz	4	2	2	0	5
12	Niroye Zamini	4	2	3	-1	4
13	Mes Kerman	4	2	3	-1	3
14	Naft Gachsaran	4	1	2	-1	3
15	Mes Soongoun	4	1	4	-3	2
16	Havadar	4	0	6	-6	1