Novin Ahvaz vs Shahin Bandar Ameri Statistics & Analysis

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Novin Ahvaz

Sep 27, 2026 - 15:30

2 1.32

2 1.28

xG Accuracy: 68%

Shahin Bandar Ameri

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Novin Ahvaz Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10104321

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Novin Ahvaz 2–2 Shahin Bandar Ameri

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Campionato Azadegan
Fixture: Novin Ahvaz vs Shahin Bandar Ameri
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 15:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Novin Ahvaz 1.32 — Shahin Bandar Ameri 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Azadegan — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Saipa	2	2	0	0	6
2	Be'sat Kermanshah	2	1	1	0	4
3	Fard Alborz	2	1	1	0	4
4	Naft Bandar Abbas	2	1	1	0	4
5	Naft Masjed Soleyman	2	1	0	1	3
6	Niroye Zamini	2	1	0	1	3
7	Ario Eslamshahr	2	1	0	1	3
8	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2	0	2	0	2
9	Shahin Bandar Ameri	2	0	2	0	2
10	Mes Rafsanjan	2	0	2	0	2
11	Pars Jonoubi JAM	2	0	2	0	2
12	Novin Ahvaz	2	0	1	1	1
13	Mes Kerman	2	0	1	1	1
14	Naft Gachsaran	2	0	1	1	1
15	Mes Soongoun	2	0	1	1	1
16	Havadar	2	0	1	1	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Saipa	2	3	0	+3	6
2	Be'sat Kermanshah	2	3	0	+3	4
3	Naft Masjed Soleyman	2	3	1	+2	3
4	Fard Alborz	2	2	1	+1	4
5	Naft Bandar Abbas	2	2	1	+1	4
6	Shenavarsazi Qeshm	2	2	2	0	2
7	Novin Ahvaz	2	2	3	-1	1
8	Niroye Zamini	2	1	1	0	3
9	Shahin Bandar Ameri	2	1	1	0	2
10	Mes Kerman	2	1	2	-1	1
11	Ario Eslamshahr	2	1	3	-2	3
12	Mes Rafsanjan	2	0	0	0	2
13	Pars Jonoubi JAM	2	0	0	0	2
14	Naft Gachsaran	2	0	1	-1	1
15	Mes Soongoun	2	0	2	-2	1
16	Havadar	2	0	3	-3	1