Tesla vs Paraense SC Statistics & Analysis

Tesla

Sep 13, 2026 - 18:30

0 1.24

1 1.36

xG Accuracy: 64%

Paraense SC

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Paraense SC Paraense SC ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 12, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8197096

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Paraense SC win · Tesla 0–1 Paraense SC

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Paraense Serie A3
Fixture: Tesla vs Paraense SC
Kickoff: 2026-09-18 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
xG (showing): Tesla 1.24 — Paraense SC 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Paraense Serie A3 — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Gavião	4	3	1	0	10
2	Pedreira	4	3	0	1	9
3	Parauapebas	4	2	1	1	7
4	Belenense	4	2	1	1	7
5	Vénus	4	2	1	1	7
6	Sport Belém	3	2	0	1	6
7	Pinheirense	4	1	3	0	6
8	Tesla	4	1	2	1	5
9	Paraense SC	4	1	1	2	4
10	CA Vila Rica	3	0	1	2	1
11	ESMAC	4	0	1	3	1
12	Altamira	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Belenense	4	14	9	+5	7
2	Parauapebas	4	12	5	+7	7
3	Pedreira	4	10	3	+7	9
4	Sport Belém	3	8	4	+4	6
5	Vénus	4	8	5	+3	7
6	Gavião	4	6	2	+4	10
7	Tesla	4	6	5	+1	5
8	Pinheirense	4	4	3	+1	6
9	ESMAC	4	4	14	-10	1
10	Paraense SC	4	2	4	-2	4
11	CA Vila Rica	3	2	11	-9	1
12	Altamira	4	2	13	-11	0