Statistiche / Calcio / Ruanda. Campionato Nazionale Ruanda / AS Kigali vs Al Hilal Omdurman

AS Kigali vs Al Hilal Omdurman Statistics & Analysis

Sep 16, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.20
2 1.40
xG Accuracy: 61%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Al Hilal Omdurman Al Hilal Omdurman ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 08:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7885364

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Al Hilal Omdurman win · AS Kigali 0–2 Al Hilal Omdurman
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Campionato Nazionale Ruanda
  • Fixture: AS Kigali vs Al Hilal Omdurman
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): AS Kigali 1.2 — Al Hilal Omdurman 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Nazionale Ruanda Campionato Nazionale Ruanda — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Gicumbi 3 3 0 0 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 7
3 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 4
4 APR 1 1 0 0 3
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 3
6 Mukura 2 1 0 1 3
7 Marines 2 1 0 1 3
8 Police FC 2 1 0 1 3
9 Gorilla 2 1 0 1 3
10 Musanze FC 2 1 0 1 3
11 Kiyovu Sports 3 1 0 2 3
12 Sunrise FC 2 0 2 0 2
13 Rayon Sports 1 0 1 0 1
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 1
15 Étoile de l'Est 3 0 1 2 1
16 AS Kigali 3 0 1 2 1
17 Bugesera FC 1 0 0 1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Gicumbi 3 5 2 +3 9
2 APR 1 4 2 +2 3
3 Marines 2 4 4 0 3
4 Etincelles 3 2 0 +2 7
5 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 2 0 +2 3
6 Amagaju 3 2 1 +1 4
7 Mukura 2 2 1 +1 3
8 Police FC 2 2 2 0 3
9 Gorilla 2 1 1 0 3
10 Musanze FC 2 1 1 0 3
11 Sunrise FC 2 1 1 0 2
12 Rayon Sports 1 1 1 0 1
13 Kiyovu Sports 3 1 2 -1 3
14 Étoile de l'Est 3 1 4 -3 1
15 Al Merreikh 1 0 0 0 1
16 Bugesera FC 1 0 1 -1 0
17 Gasogi United 1 0 2 -2 0
18 AS Kigali 3 0 4 -4 1