Manicoré vs RB do Norte Statistics & Analysis

Manicoré

Aug 26, 2026 - 19:30

1 1.37

3 1.23

xG Accuracy: 56%

RB do Norte

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Manicoré RB do Norte ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 25, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5395840

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result RB do Norte win · Manicoré 1–3 RB do Norte

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Campionato Amazonense - Serie B
Fixture: Manicoré vs RB do Norte
Kickoff: 2026-08-26 19:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Manicoré 1.37 — RB do Norte 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Campionato Amazonense - Serie B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	RB do Norte	6	5	1	0	16
2	Fast Clube-AM	6	4	2	0	14
3	Operário AM	6	4	0	2	12
4	Manicoré	6	3	1	2	10
5	Cliper	6	1	0	5	3
6	Unidos do Alvorada	6	1	0	5	3
7	Peñarol-AM	6	1	0	5	3

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Operário AM	6	23	5	+18	12
2	RB do Norte	6	23	6	+17	16
3	Fast Clube-AM	6	16	4	+12	14
4	Manicoré	6	14	11	+3	10
5	Unidos do Alvorada	6	12	27	-15	3
6	Cliper	6	10	23	-13	3
7	Peñarol-AM	6	6	28	-22	3