FC Santiago vs Guerreros Statistics & Analysis

FC Santiago

Oct 04, 2026 - 23:00

2 1.44

2 1.16

xG Accuracy: 68%

Guerreros

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 FC Santiago Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 00:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11216297

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · FC Santiago 2–2 Guerreros

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga Premier Serie A
Fixture: FC Santiago vs Guerreros
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 00:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
xG (showing): FC Santiago 1.44 — Guerreros 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Premier Serie A — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Mineros de Fresnillo	7	4	2	1	14
1	Artesanos Metepec	7	6	1	0	20
2	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	6	4	0	2	13
2	Dragones de Oaxaca	6	4	1	1	15
3	Vaqueros Reynosa	6	4	1	1	13
3	Halcones Negros	7	4	1	2	14
4	Acatlan	7	4	1	2	13
4	Calor de San Pedro	6	3	1	2	11
5	Correcaminos UAT II	6	2	2	2	8
5	CDM	6	3	1	2	10
6	Guerreros	6	2	1	3	8
6	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	7	2	3	2	9
7	Atlético Saltillo	6	3	0	3	8
7	Guerreros del Pacífico	5	2	1	2	8
8	FC Santiago	6	2	1	3	7
8	Real Refineros	7	2	1	4	7
9	Real Apodaca	6	1	1	4	4
9	Ciervos	6	1	0	5	2
10	Héroes de Zací	6	0	1	5	2
10	Cañoneros Marina	7	0	0	7	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Halcones Negros	7	20	6	+14	14
2	Artesanos Metepec	7	17	5	+12	20
3	CDM	6	16	8	+8	10
4	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	6	15	8	+7	13
5	Dragones de Oaxaca	6	14	7	+7	15
6	Calor de San Pedro	6	14	13	+1	11
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	7	12	4	+8	14
8	Acatlan	7	12	10	+2	13
9	Vaqueros Reynosa	6	11	8	+3	13
10	Real Refineros	7	11	13	-2	7
11	Guerreros	6	10	12	-2	8
12	FC Santiago	6	9	7	+2	7
13	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	7	9	9	0	9
14	Atlético Saltillo	6	9	15	-6	8
15	Correcaminos UAT II	6	7	7	0	8
16	Real Apodaca	6	7	12	-5	4
17	Guerreros del Pacífico	5	4	4	0	8
18	Héroes de Zací	6	3	12	-9	2
19	Ciervos	6	3	19	-16	2
20	Cañoneros Marina	7	2	26	-24	0