Guerreros vs Vaqueros Reynosa Statistics & Analysis

Guerreros

Sep 06, 2026 - 22:00

3 1.32

4 1.28

xG Accuracy: 30%

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Vaqueros Reynosa

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Guerreros Vaqueros Reynosa ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 08:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6374976

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Vaqueros Reynosa win · Guerreros 3–4 Vaqueros Reynosa

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Liga Premier Serie A
Fixture: Guerreros vs Vaqueros Reynosa
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 22:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Guerreros 1.32 — Vaqueros Reynosa 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Premier Serie A — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	4	3	0	1	10
1	Artesanos Metepec	4	4	0	0	13
2	Acatlan	5	3	1	1	10
2	Dragones de Oaxaca	4	3	1	0	11
3	Mineros de Fresnillo	4	2	2	0	8
3	CDM	4	3	1	0	10
4	Atlético Saltillo	5	3	0	2	8
4	Real Refineros	5	2	1	2	7
5	Vaqueros Reynosa	4	2	1	1	7
5	Guerreros del Pacífico	4	2	0	2	6
6	FC Santiago	5	2	0	3	6
6	Calor de San Pedro	3	1	1	1	5
7	Real Apodaca	4	1	1	2	4
7	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	4	1	1	2	5
8	Guerreros	4	1	0	3	3
8	Halcones Negros	4	1	1	2	4
9	Correcaminos UAT II	3	0	2	1	2
9	Ciervos	5	1	0	4	2
10	Héroes de Zací	4	0	1	3	2
10	Cañoneros Marina	5	0	0	5	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	CDM	4	12	2	+10	10
2	La Tribu de Cd. Juarez	4	11	4	+7	10
3	Artesanos Metepec	4	10	2	+8	13
4	Acatlan	5	9	6	+3	10
5	Atlético Saltillo	5	9	12	-3	8
6	Dragones de Oaxaca	4	8	2	+6	11
7	FC Santiago	5	7	5	+2	6
8	Vaqueros Reynosa	4	7	6	+1	7
9	Real Refineros	5	7	7	0	7
10	Halcones Negros	4	5	4	+1	4
11	Delfines Coatzacoalcos	4	5	5	0	5
12	Real Apodaca	4	5	7	-2	4
13	Guerreros	4	5	10	-5	3
14	Mineros de Fresnillo	4	4	0	+4	8
15	Calor de San Pedro	3	4	3	+1	5
16	Guerreros del Pacífico	4	4	4	0	6
17	Héroes de Zací	4	3	8	-5	2
18	Ciervos	5	3	14	-11	2
19	Correcaminos UAT II	3	1	3	-2	2
20	Cañoneros Marina	5	1	16	-15	0