Celaya 2 vs Cruz Azul Lagunas Statistics & Analysis

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Celaya 2

Sep 04, 2026 - 16:00

2 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 77%

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Cruz Azul Lagunas

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Celaya 2 Celaya 2 ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 29, 2026 · 01:55 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5914075

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Celaya 2 win · Celaya 2 2–1 Cruz Azul Lagunas

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Liga Premier Serie B
Fixture: Celaya 2 vs Cruz Azul Lagunas
Kickoff: 2026-09-04 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Celaya 2 1.32 — Cruz Azul Lagunas 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Liga Premier Serie B — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	S	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz 2	2	2	0	6
2	Celaya 2	2	2	0	6
3	Cruz Azul Lagunas	3	2	1	6
4	Deportivo Ayense	3	1	2	3
5	Internacional Laguna	2	1	1	3
6	Irapuato II	2	1	1	3
7	Héroes de Zací 2	2	1	1	3
8	Gorilas de Juanacatlán	3	1	2	3
9	Huracanes Izcalli	3	1	2	3
10	Atletico Hidalgo	2	0	2	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Racing de Veracruz 2	2	5	2	+3	6
2	Celaya 2	2	4	2	+2	6
3	Cruz Azul Lagunas	3	4	3	+1	6
4	Deportivo Ayense	3	3	3	0	3
5	Internacional Laguna	2	3	3	0	3
6	Irapuato II	2	3	3	0	3
7	Gorilas de Juanacatlán	3	3	4	-1	3
8	Héroes de Zací 2	2	2	2	0	3
9	Huracanes Izcalli	3	2	4	-2	3
10	Atletico Hidalgo	2	2	5	-3	0