Statistiche / Calcio / Messico. Liga Premier Serie B / Cruz Azul Lagunas vs Gorilas de Juanacatlán

Cruz Azul Lagunas vs Gorilas de Juanacatlán Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 23:00
1 1.25
0 1.35
xG Accuracy: 64%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Gorilas de Juanacatlán Cruz Azul Lagunas ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 22, 2026 · 04:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4951243

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cruz Azul Lagunas win · Cruz Azul Lagunas 1–0 Gorilas de Juanacatlán
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga Premier Serie B
  • Fixture: Cruz Azul Lagunas vs Gorilas de Juanacatlán
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-28 22:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.9% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.6%
  • xG (showing): Cruz Azul Lagunas 1.25 — Gorilas de Juanacatlán 1.35 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga Premier Serie B Liga Premier Serie B — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Racing de Veracruz 2 2 2 0 0 6
2 Celaya 2 2 2 0 0 6
3 Cruz Azul Lagunas 3 2 0 1 6
4 Deportivo Ayense 3 1 0 2 3
5 Internacional Laguna 2 1 0 1 3
6 Irapuato II 2 1 0 1 3
7 Héroes de Zací 2 2 1 0 1 3
8 Gorilas de Juanacatlán 3 1 0 2 3
9 Huracanes Izcalli 3 1 0 2 3
10 Atletico Hidalgo 2 0 0 2 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Racing de Veracruz 2 2 5 2 +3 6
2 Celaya 2 2 4 2 +2 6
3 Cruz Azul Lagunas 3 4 3 +1 6
4 Deportivo Ayense 3 3 3 0 3
5 Internacional Laguna 2 3 3 0 3
6 Irapuato II 2 3 3 0 3
7 Gorilas de Juanacatlán 3 3 4 -1 3
8 Héroes de Zací 2 2 2 2 0 3
9 Huracanes Izcalli 3 2 4 -2 3
10 Atletico Hidalgo 2 2 5 -3 0