Energetik vs Şimal Statistics & Analysis

Energetik

Oct 15, 2026 - 11:00

1 1.55

4 1.05

xG Accuracy: 38%

Şimal

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Energetik Şimal ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 1-4 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 09, 2026 · 01:32 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-14187418

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Şimal win · Energetik 1–4 Şimal

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premyer Liqası Azerbaigian
Fixture: Energetik vs Şimal
Kickoff: 2026-10-15 11:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 47.3% · Draw 28.5% · Away 24.1%
xG (showing): Energetik 1.55 — Şimal 1.05 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS No
Model: 47.2% · Implied: 39.5% · Probability edge: +7.7 pts · Est. EV: +13.3%
BTTS (model): Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premyer Liqası Azerbaigian — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Şahdağ	5	4	0	1	12
2	Cəbrayıl	4	4	0	0	12
3	Səbail	5	3	2	0	11
4	Karvan	4	2	1	1	7
5	MOIK	4	2	1	1	7
6	Şimal	5	1	2	2	5
7	Xankəndi FK	5	1	2	2	5
8	Zaqatala	5	1	1	3	4
9	Energetik	5	0	1	4	1
10	Baku Sportinq	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Şahdağ	5	13	2	+11	12
2	Cəbrayıl	4	9	2	+7	12
3	Səbail	5	8	4	+4	11
4	Şimal	5	8	9	-1	5
5	Karvan	4	7	3	+4	7
6	MOIK	4	6	2	+4	7
7	Zaqatala	5	6	14	-8	4
8	Xankəndi FK	5	4	6	-2	5
9	Energetik	5	4	14	-10	1
10	Baku Sportinq	4	0	9	-9	0