Şimal vs Xankəndi FK Statistics & Analysis

Şimal

Oct 09, 2026 - 11:30

1 1.19

1 1.41

xG Accuracy: 85%

Xankəndi FK

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Xankəndi FK Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 0-0 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 02, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12428378

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Şimal 1–1 Xankəndi FK

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Premyer Liqası Azerbaigian
Fixture: Şimal vs Xankəndi FK
Kickoff: 2026-10-08 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 30.1% · Draw 29.4% · Away 40.5%
xG (showing): Şimal 1.19 — Xankəndi FK 1.41 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None (actionable) — best tracked EV is about +1.0%, still below the +2.0% minimum for a headline / default stake (no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.2% · No 45.8%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Premyer Liqası Azerbaigian — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Şahdağ	3	3	0	0	9
2	Cəbrayıl	3	3	0	0	9
3	Səbail	3	2	1	0	7
4	Karvan	3	2	0	1	6
5	MOIK	3	1	1	1	4
6	Zaqatala	3	1	1	1	4
7	Xankəndi FK	3	0	1	2	1
8	Energetik	3	0	1	2	1
9	Şimal	3	0	1	2	1
10	Baku Sportinq	3	0	0	3	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Şahdağ	3	7	1	+6	9
2	Cəbrayıl	3	7	2	+5	9
3	Karvan	3	6	2	+4	6
4	Zaqatala	3	5	5	0	4
5	Səbail	3	4	2	+2	7
6	MOIK	3	3	2	+1	4
7	Energetik	3	3	7	-4	1
8	Şimal	3	3	7	-4	1
9	Xankəndi FK	3	2	5	-3	1
10	Baku Sportinq	3	0	7	-7	0