Clube 1992 vs São Paulo RS Statistics & Analysis

Oct 07, 2026 - 22:00
1 1.26
3 1.34
xG Accuracy: 59%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 São Paulo RS São Paulo RS ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-3 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11258913

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result São Paulo RS win · Clube 1992 1–3 São Paulo RS
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Campeonato Gaúcho Série C
  • Fixture: Clube 1992 vs São Paulo RS
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Clube 1992 1.26 — São Paulo RS 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche
Campeonato Gaúcho Série C Campeonato Gaúcho Série C — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Panambi 6 5 1 0 16
2 Real 4 3 1 0 10
3 Futebol Com Vida 6 2 4 0 10
4 Cruz A. 6 3 1 2 10
5 São Paulo RS 5 3 0 2 9
6 FBC Riograndense RS 6 2 1 3 7
7 Farroupilha 5 2 0 3 6
8 Clube 1992 5 1 0 4 3
9 EC Novo Horizonte 4 1 0 3 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Panambi 6 12 3 +9 16
2 Real 4 11 1 +10 10
3 Cruz A. 6 9 7 +2 10
4 São Paulo RS 5 8 5 +3 9
5 Futebol Com Vida 6 6 3 +3 10
6 FBC Riograndense RS 6 6 8 -2 7
7 Clube 1992 5 6 8 -2 3
8 Farroupilha 5 5 10 -5 6
9 EC Novo Horizonte 4 3 9 -6 3
10 SC Rio Grande 5 2 14 -12 0