Stati Uniti vs Cile Statistics & Analysis

Sep 30, 2026 - 00:00

4 1.26

2 1.34

xG Accuracy: 39%

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 24, 2026 · 00:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10583639

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Stati Uniti win · Stati Uniti 4–2 Cile

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Amichevoli
Fixture: Stati Uniti vs Cile
Kickoff: 2026-09-30 00:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
xG (showing): Stati Uniti 1.26 — Cile 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 39.3% · Probability edge: +12.5 pts · Est. EV: +36.2%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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