Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves Statistics & Analysis

Niger Tornadoes

Sep 23, 2026 - 15:00

0 1.31

0 1.29

xG Accuracy: 49%

Warri Wolves

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Niger Tornadoes Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 17, 2026 · 01:27 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-9164791

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Niger Tornadoes 0–0 Warri Wolves

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NPFL Nigeria
Fixture: Niger Tornadoes vs Warri Wolves
Kickoff: 2026-09-23 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Niger Tornadoes 1.31 — Warri Wolves 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NPFL Nigeria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Barau FC	6	3	3	0	12
2	Rivers United	4	3	1	0	10
3	Enugu Rangers	4	3	1	0	10
4	Doma United	5	3	1	1	10
5	Bendel Insurance	5	3	0	2	9
6	Kano Pillars	4	2	2	0	8
7	Plateau United	5	2	2	1	8
8	Kwara United	5	2	1	2	7
9	Sporting Lagos	5	2	1	2	7
10	Shooting Stars	3	2	0	1	6
11	Ranchers Bees	5	2	0	3	6
12	Ikorodu City	4	1	2	1	5
13	Niger Tornadoes	5	1	2	2	5
14	Abia Warriors	5	1	2	2	5
15	Warri Wolves	4	1	1	2	4
16	Nasarawa United	5	1	1	3	4
17	Inter Lagos	5	1	1	3	4
18	Katsina United	4	1	1	2	4
19	Kun Khalifat FC	5	0	2	3	2
20	Enyimba	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rivers United	4	10	1	+9	10
2	Kano Pillars	4	10	6	+4	8
3	Barau FC	6	9	3	+6	12
4	Bendel Insurance	5	9	7	+2	9
5	Enugu Rangers	4	8	4	+4	10
6	Doma United	5	8	6	+2	10
7	Ranchers Bees	5	8	8	0	6
8	Kwara United	5	7	5	+2	7
9	Plateau United	5	7	6	+1	8
10	Sporting Lagos	5	7	7	0	7
11	Ikorodu City	4	6	5	+1	5
12	Shooting Stars	3	5	4	+1	6
13	Niger Tornadoes	5	5	6	-1	5
14	Nasarawa United	5	5	8	-3	4
15	Abia Warriors	5	4	8	-4	5
16	Kun Khalifat FC	5	4	13	-9	2
17	Inter Lagos	5	3	7	-4	4
18	Enyimba	4	3	8	-5	0
19	Warri Wolves	4	2	4	-2	4
20	Katsina United	4	2	6	-4	4