Katsina United vs Rivers United Statistics & Analysis

Katsina United

Sep 30, 2026 - 15:00

1 1.31

1 1.29

xG Accuracy: 85%

Rivers United

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Katsina United Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:41 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6364740

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Katsina United 1–1 Rivers United

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: NPFL Nigeria
Fixture: Katsina United vs Rivers United
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
xG (showing): Katsina United 1.31 — Rivers United 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

NPFL Nigeria — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Enugu Rangers	7	5	1	1	16
2	Rivers United	7	4	3	0	15
3	Doma United	7	4	1	2	13
4	Barau FC	7	3	3	1	12
5	Bendel Insurance	7	4	0	3	12
6	Plateau United	7	3	2	2	11
7	Kano Pillars	6	2	4	0	10
8	Kwara United	7	3	1	3	10
9	Ikorodu City	7	2	3	2	9
10	Sporting Lagos	7	2	3	2	9
11	Katsina United	7	2	3	2	9
12	Niger Tornadoes	7	2	2	3	8
13	Nasarawa United	7	2	2	3	8
14	Abia Warriors	7	2	2	3	8
15	Enyimba	7	2	1	4	7
16	Ranchers Bees	7	2	1	4	7
17	Shooting Stars	6	2	1	3	7
18	Warri Wolves	7	2	1	4	7
19	Inter Lagos	7	1	2	4	5
20	Kun Khalifat FC	7	1	2	4	5

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Rivers United	7	13	2	+11	15
2	Bendel Insurance	7	13	11	+2	12
3	Enugu Rangers	7	12	7	+5	16
4	Kano Pillars	6	11	7	+4	10
5	Barau FC	7	10	7	+3	12
6	Doma United	7	10	8	+2	13
7	Kwara United	7	9	7	+2	10
8	Plateau United	7	9	8	+1	11
9	Enyimba	7	9	10	-1	7
10	Ranchers Bees	7	9	10	-1	7
11	Ikorodu City	7	8	7	+1	9
12	Sporting Lagos	7	8	8	0	9
13	Abia Warriors	7	8	11	-3	8
14	Shooting Stars	6	7	9	-2	7
15	Niger Tornadoes	7	6	7	-1	8
16	Nasarawa United	7	6	8	-2	8
17	Katsina United	7	6	9	-3	9
18	Kun Khalifat FC	7	5	14	-9	5
19	Inter Lagos	7	4	10	-6	5
20	Warri Wolves	7	3	6	-3	7