Statistiche / Calcio / Albania. Kategoria Superiore / Oriku vs Burreli

Oriku vs Burreli Statistics & Analysis

Oriku Oriku
Sep 20, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Burreli Burreli
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Oriku Burreli ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8680438

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Burreli win · Oriku 0–1 Burreli
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Kategoria Superiore
  • Fixture: Oriku vs Burreli
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Oriku 1.3 — Burreli 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Kategoria Superiore Kategoria Superiore — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 8
2 Besa Kavajë 4 2 1 1 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 7
4 Iliria Fushë-Krujë 4 1 3 0 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 6
6 FK Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6
7 Kastrioti Krujë 4 1 2 1 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5
10 Besëlidhja Lezhë 4 1 1 2 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 3
12 Oriku 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Besa Kavajë 4 13 5 +8 7
2 FK Kukesi 4 6 6 0 6
3 Pogradeci 4 5 1 +4 8
4 Iliria Fushë-Krujë 4 5 3 +2 6
5 Kastrioti Krujë 4 5 5 0 5
6 Burreli 4 5 6 -1 5
7 Sopoti Librazhd 4 5 7 -2 5
8 Bylis 4 4 3 +1 6
9 Korabi Peshkopi 4 4 5 -1 7
10 Flamurtari 4 4 5 -1 3
11 Besëlidhja Lezhë 4 3 5 -2 4
12 Oriku 4 1 9 -8 0