Statistiche / Calcio / Sudafrica. 1ª Divisione Sudafrica / Lerumo Lions vs Casric Stars

Lerumo Lions vs Casric Stars Statistics & Analysis

Lerumo Lions Lerumo Lions
Sep 12, 2026 - 13:00
0 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 64%
Casric Stars Casric Stars
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Lerumo Lions Casric Stars ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7435764

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Casric Stars win · Lerumo Lions 0–1 Casric Stars
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 1ª Divisione Sudafrica
  • Fixture: Lerumo Lions vs Casric Stars
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Lerumo Lions 1.3 — Casric Stars 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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1ª Divisione Sudafrica 1ª Divisione Sudafrica — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Magesi 5 4 1 0 13
2 Casric Stars 5 4 0 1 12
3 Leicesterfield 5 3 1 1 10
4 Highbury 5 3 1 1 10
5 Hope FC 5 3 0 2 9
6 Cape Town City 5 2 2 1 8
7 Upington City 5 2 2 1 8
8 Gomora United 5 2 2 1 8
9 Lerumo Lions 5 2 1 2 7
10 Hungry Lions 5 1 3 1 6
11 University of Pretoria 5 1 2 2 5
12 Midlands Wanderers 5 1 1 3 4
13 NWU FC 5 0 3 2 3
14 The Bees 5 1 0 4 3
15 Orbit College 5 0 2 3 2
16 Venda FC 5 0 1 4 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Upington City 5 9 8 +1 8
2 Leicesterfield 5 8 6 +2 10
3 Magesi 5 7 2 +5 13
4 Casric Stars 5 7 3 +4 12
5 Cape Town City 5 6 4 +2 8
6 Hungry Lions 5 6 5 +1 6
7 Gomora United 5 6 6 0 8
8 Lerumo Lions 5 5 4 +1 7
9 University of Pretoria 5 5 6 -1 5
10 Highbury 5 4 2 +2 10
11 Hope FC 5 3 3 0 9
12 Midlands Wanderers 5 3 4 -1 4
13 Venda FC 5 3 9 -6 1
14 NWU FC 5 2 5 -3 3
15 The Bees 5 2 6 -4 3
16 Orbit College 5 1 4 -3 2