Statistiche / Calcio / Angola. Girabola / Sagrada Esperança vs Kabuscorp

Sagrada Esperança vs Kabuscorp Statistics & Analysis

Sagrada Esperança Sagrada Esperança
Oct 07, 2026 - 14:30
1 1.29
0 1.31
xG Accuracy: 64%
Kabuscorp Kabuscorp
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Kabuscorp Sagrada Esperança ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 22, 2026 · 00:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4910577

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sagrada Esperança win · Sagrada Esperança 1–0 Kabuscorp
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Girabola
  • Fixture: Sagrada Esperança vs Kabuscorp
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-26 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Sagrada Esperança 1.29 — Kabuscorp 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Girabola Girabola — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Wiliete SC 6 5 1 0 16
2 Petro de Luanda 6 4 2 0 14
3 1º de Agosto 6 4 2 0 14
4 Onze Bravos 6 4 1 1 13
5 Interclube 6 3 1 2 10
6 Desportivo Huíla 6 3 1 2 10
7 Recreativo do Libolo 6 3 0 3 9
8 1º de Maio 6 2 2 2 8
9 Sagrada Esperança 5 2 1 2 7
10 CD Lunda-Sul 6 1 3 2 6
11 Kabuscorp 7 1 3 3 6
12 Recreativo da Caála 6 1 2 3 5
13 São Salvador 6 1 2 3 5
14 FC Luanda 6 1 1 4 4
15 Sporting de Cabinda 6 0 3 3 3
16 Académica do Lobito 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Wiliete SC 6 13 2 +11 16
2 1º de Agosto 6 10 6 +4 14
3 Onze Bravos 6 9 4 +5 13
4 1º de Maio 6 8 7 +1 8
5 Petro de Luanda 6 7 0 +7 14
6 Interclube 6 7 5 +2 10
7 Recreativo do Libolo 6 7 11 -4 9
8 Sagrada Esperança 5 6 7 -1 7
9 FC Luanda 6 6 10 -4 4
10 Desportivo Huíla 6 5 4 +1 10
11 Recreativo da Caála 6 5 7 -2 5
12 CD Lunda-Sul 6 4 5 -1 6
13 Kabuscorp 7 4 6 -2 6
14 Sporting de Cabinda 6 3 8 -5 3
15 São Salvador 6 2 5 -3 5
16 Académica do Lobito 6 1 10 -9 1
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