Statistiche / Calcio / Angola. Girabola / CD Lunda-Sul vs Petro de Luanda

CD Lunda-Sul vs Petro de Luanda Statistics & Analysis

CD Lunda-Sul CD Lunda-Sul
Aug 21, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.17
0 1.43
xG Accuracy: 49%
Petro de Luanda Petro de Luanda
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Petro de Luanda Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 15, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4021405

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · CD Lunda-Sul 0–0 Petro de Luanda
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Girabola
  • Fixture: CD Lunda-Sul vs Petro de Luanda
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-21 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 29.3% · Draw 29.4% · Away 41.4%
  • xG (showing): CD Lunda-Sul 1.17 — Petro de Luanda 1.43 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Girabola Girabola — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Wiliete SC 5 5 0 0 15
2 1º de Agosto 5 4 1 0 13
3 Onze Bravos 5 4 0 1 12
4 Petro de Luanda 4 3 1 0 10
5 Interclube 5 3 0 2 9
6 Desportivo Huíla 5 3 0 2 9
7 1º de Maio 5 2 1 2 7
8 Recreativo do Libolo 5 2 0 3 6
9 Kabuscorp 4 1 2 1 5
10 CD Lunda-Sul 5 1 2 2 5
11 Recreativo da Caála 5 1 1 3 4
12 FC Luanda 5 1 1 3 4
13 São Salvador 5 1 1 3 4
14 Sagrada Esperança 3 1 0 2 3
15 Sporting de Cabinda 5 0 2 3 2
16 Académica do Lobito 5 0 0 5 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Wiliete SC 5 12 1 +11 15
2 1º de Agosto 5 9 5 +4 13
3 Onze Bravos 5 7 2 +5 12
4 Petro de Luanda 4 6 0 +6 10
5 Interclube 5 6 4 +2 9
6 1º de Maio 5 6 5 +1 7
7 Desportivo Huíla 5 5 4 +1 9
8 Recreativo da Caála 5 5 7 -2 4
9 FC Luanda 5 5 8 -3 4
10 Recreativo do Libolo 5 5 10 -5 6
11 CD Lunda-Sul 5 4 5 -1 5
12 Sagrada Esperança 3 4 6 -2 3
13 Kabuscorp 4 3 3 0 5
14 Sporting de Cabinda 5 3 8 -5 2
15 São Salvador 5 2 5 -3 4
16 Académica do Lobito 5 0 9 -9 0
Girabola Angola. Girabola Pronostici