Statistiche / Calcio / Brasile. Pernambucano Under 20 / Ipojuca U20 vs Retrô U20

Ipojuca U20 vs Retrô U20 Statistics & Analysis

Aug 29, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.06
0 1.54
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Retrô U20 Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:47 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5160278

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Ipojuca U20 0–0 Retrô U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Pernambucano Under 20
  • Fixture: Ipojuca U20 vs Retrô U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.8%
  • xG (showing): Ipojuca U20 1.06 — Retrô U20 1.54 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Pernambucano Under 20 Pernambucano Under 20 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Santa Cruz U20 7 5 2 0 17
1 Sport Recife U20 6 5 0 1 15
2 Retrô U20 7 4 2 1 14
2 Academica Vitoria U20 6 5 0 1 15
3 Central SC U20 8 3 3 2 12
3 Náutico U20 5 4 0 1 12
4 Ipojuca U20 7 3 3 1 12
4 Petrolina U20 6 3 1 2 10
5 CA Porto U20 7 3 2 2 11
5 America PE U20 6 3 0 3 9
6 1º de Maio U20 7 2 2 3 8
6 Serrano PE U20 6 1 2 3 5
7 Ibis Sport Club U20 7 2 1 4 7
7 Jaguar U20 5 0 1 4 1
8 Atletico PE U20 7 0 3 4 3
8 Guarany U20 6 0 0 6 0
9 Atletico Torres U20 7 0 2 5 2
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Santa Cruz U20 7 24 2 +22 17
2 Sport Recife U20 6 19 2 +17 15
3 Retrô U20 7 16 4 +12 14
4 America PE U20 6 16 6 +10 9
5 CA Porto U20 7 14 3 +11 11
6 Náutico U20 5 14 4 +10 12
7 Central SC U20 8 14 9 +5 12
8 Academica Vitoria U20 6 12 6 +6 15
9 Ipojuca U20 7 10 9 +1 12
10 Ibis Sport Club U20 7 10 13 -3 7
11 1º de Maio U20 7 8 18 -10 8
12 Petrolina U20 6 6 7 -1 10
13 Atletico PE U20 7 6 26 -20 3
14 Serrano PE U20 6 4 7 -3 5
15 Jaguar U20 5 2 12 -10 1
16 Atletico Torres U20 7 2 20 -18 2
17 Guarany U20 6 2 31 -29 0