Ipswich Town U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21 Statistics & Analysis

Ipswich Town U21

Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00

2 1.37

2 1.23

xG Accuracy: 68%

West Bromwich Albion U21

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ipswich Town U21 Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:26 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12703695

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Ipswich Town U21 2–2 West Bromwich Albion U21

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Premier League Cup
Fixture: Ipswich Town U21 vs West Bromwich Albion U21
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Ipswich Town U21 1.37 — West Bromwich Albion U21 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
Model: 51.8% · Implied: 33.3% · Probability edge: +18.5 pts · Est. EV: +55.4%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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