Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol Statistics & Analysis

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Devnya 2005

Sep 19, 2026 - 14:00

2 1.44

2 1.16

xG Accuracy: 68%

Dorostol

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Devnya 2005 Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 02:22 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8689191

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Devnya 2005 2–2 Dorostol

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Terza Lega - Nordest
Fixture: Devnya 2005 vs Dorostol
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.9% · Draw 29.3% · Away 28.8%
xG (showing): Devnya 2005 1.44 — Dorostol 1.16 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.0% · No 46.0%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 26, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Terza Lega - Nordest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Volov Shumen	5	4	1	0	13
2	Svetkavitsa 14	5	4	1	0	13
3	Ludogorets III	5	3	1	1	10
4	Chernomorets Balchik	4	3	1	0	10
5	Riltsi	5	3	0	2	9
6	Chernolomets 1919	5	2	2	1	8
7	Benkovski Isperih	3	2	1	0	7
8	Botev Novi Pazar	4	2	1	1	7
9	Septemvri Dragoevo	4	2	1	1	7
10	Cherno More II	4	2	0	2	6
11	Olympic Varna	5	2	0	3	6
12	Septemvri Tervel	2	1	1	0	4
13	Devnya 2005	4	1	0	3	3
14	Aksakovo	5	0	1	4	1
15	Fratria II	5	0	1	4	1
16	Ustrem Donchevo	5	0	0	5	0
17	Dorostol	4	0	0	4	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Volov Shumen	5	19	3	+16	13
2	Svetkavitsa 14	5	13	3	+10	13
3	Ludogorets III	5	13	4	+9	10
4	Olympic Varna	5	13	16	-3	6
5	Botev Novi Pazar	4	11	8	+3	7
6	Septemvri Dragoevo	4	10	9	+1	7
7	Benkovski Isperih	3	9	2	+7	7
8	Chernomorets Balchik	4	9	4	+5	10
9	Chernolomets 1919	5	9	6	+3	8
10	Ustrem Donchevo	5	9	20	-11	0
11	Cherno More II	4	8	5	+3	6
12	Riltsi	5	8	6	+2	9
13	Septemvri Tervel	2	6	3	+3	4
14	Aksakovo	5	6	18	-12	1
15	Fratria II	5	4	21	-17	1
16	Devnya 2005	4	3	10	-7	3
17	Dorostol	4	1	13	-12	0