Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo Statistics & Analysis

Ludogorets III

Aug 26, 2026 - 15:00

6 1.05

1 1.55

xG Accuracy: 22%

Aksakovo

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ludogorets III Ludogorets III ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 6-1 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 20, 2026 · 02:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4673855

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ludogorets III win · Ludogorets III 6–1 Aksakovo

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Terza Lega - Nordest
Fixture: Aksakovo vs Ludogorets III
Kickoff: 2026-08-26 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 24.1% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.3%
xG (showing): Aksakovo 1.05 — Ludogorets III 1.55 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Terza Lega - Nordest — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Volov Shumen	6	5	1	0	16
2	Ludogorets III	6	4	1	1	13
3	Svetkavitsa 14	6	4	1	1	13
4	Chernomorets Balchik	5	3	2	0	11
5	Chernolomets 1919	6	3	2	1	11
6	Benkovski Isperih	4	3	1	0	10
7	Cherno More II	5	3	0	2	9
8	Riltsi	6	3	0	3	9
9	Botev Novi Pazar	5	2	2	1	8
10	Septemvri Tervel	3	2	1	0	7
11	Septemvri Dragoevo	5	2	1	2	7
12	Olympic Varna	6	2	0	4	6
13	Devnya 2005	5	1	1	3	4
14	Aksakovo	5	0	1	4	1
15	Dorostol	5	0	1	4	1
16	Fratria II	6	0	1	5	1
17	Ustrem Donchevo	6	0	0	6	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Volov Shumen	6	23	4	+19	16
2	Ludogorets III	6	16	4	+12	13
3	Svetkavitsa 14	6	13	4	+9	13
4	Olympic Varna	6	13	18	-5	6
5	Benkovski Isperih	4	12	4	+8	10
6	Botev Novi Pazar	5	11	8	+3	8
7	Septemvri Dragoevo	5	11	13	-2	7
8	Ustrem Donchevo	6	11	23	-12	0
9	Cherno More II	5	10	5	+5	9
10	Chernolomets 1919	6	10	6	+4	11
11	Chernomorets Balchik	5	9	4	+5	11
12	Septemvri Tervel	3	8	4	+4	7
13	Riltsi	6	8	9	-1	9
14	Aksakovo	5	6	18	-12	1
15	Devnya 2005	5	5	12	-7	4
16	Fratria II	6	5	23	-18	1
17	Dorostol	5	3	15	-12	1