Statistiche / Calcio / Bulgaria. Terza Lega - Nordovest / Partizan vs Akademik Svishtov

Partizan vs Akademik Svishtov Statistics & Analysis

Aug 22, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.14
0 1.46
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Akademik Svishtov Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4235509

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Partizan 0–0 Akademik Svishtov
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Terza Lega - Nordovest
  • Fixture: Partizan vs Akademik Svishtov
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-22 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.9%
  • xG (showing): Partizan 1.14 — Akademik Svishtov 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Terza Lega - Nordovest Terza Lega - Nordovest — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 3 2 0 11
2 Akademik Svishtov 5 3 2 0 11
3 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 2 2 1 8
4 Partizan 4 2 2 0 8
5 Sevlievo 5 2 2 1 8
6 Chavdar Troyan 4 2 2 0 8
7 Kom Berkovitsa 5 2 2 1 8
8 Bdin 5 2 0 3 6
9 Etar VT II 4 1 1 2 4
10 OFK Levski 4 1 1 2 4
11 Pavlikeni 5 1 0 4 3
12 Spartak Pleven II 5 0 2 3 2
13 Juventus Malchika 4 0 0 4 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Yantra Polski Trambesh 5 14 7 +7 8
2 Lokomotiv Mezdra 5 10 2 +8 11
3 Kom Berkovitsa 5 10 10 0 8
4 Akademik Svishtov 5 9 2 +7 11
5 Bdin 5 9 10 -1 6
6 Sevlievo 5 7 5 +2 8
7 Etar VT II 4 7 6 +1 4
8 Partizan 4 6 2 +4 8
9 Spartak Pleven II 5 6 13 -7 2
10 Pavlikeni 5 4 9 -5 3
11 Chavdar Troyan 4 3 1 +2 8
12 OFK Levski 4 2 4 -2 4
13 Juventus Malchika 4 0 16 -16 0