Aranova vs Latte Dolce Statistics & Analysis

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Aranova

Sep 27, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 85%

Latte Dolce

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Aranova Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:39 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10095755

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Aranova 1–1 Latte Dolce

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Serie D Girone G
Fixture: Aranova vs Latte Dolce
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Aranova 1.32 — Latte Dolce 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone G — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Sarnese	5	3	2	0	11
2	Paganese	5	3	1	1	10
3	Monastir	5	3	1	1	10
4	Trastevere	5	3	1	1	10
5	Certosa V. Campagnano	5	3	0	2	9
6	Unipomezia	5	2	2	1	8
7	Albalonga	5	2	2	1	8
8	Ossese	5	2	2	1	8
9	Budoni	5	2	1	2	7
10	Anzio	5	2	1	2	7
11	Gelbison	5	2	1	2	7
12	Real Casalnuovo	5	1	3	1	6
13	Aranova	5	1	3	1	6
14	Città di Anagni	5	2	0	3	6
15	Sarrabus Ogliastra	5	1	2	2	5
16	Latte Dolce	5	0	2	3	2
17	Atletico Lodigiani	5	0	1	4	1
18	Venafro	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Paganese	5	13	7	+6	10
2	Monastir	5	12	8	+4	10
3	Sarnese	5	9	5	+4	11
4	Albalonga	5	9	7	+2	8
5	Budoni	5	9	8	+1	7
6	Certosa V. Campagnano	5	8	3	+5	9
7	Unipomezia	5	8	5	+3	8
8	Trastevere	5	8	10	-2	10
9	Ossese	5	7	5	+2	8
10	Gelbison	5	7	8	-1	7
11	Città di Anagni	5	7	10	-3	6
12	Atletico Lodigiani	5	7	14	-7	1
13	Latte Dolce	5	6	11	-5	2
14	Anzio	5	5	5	0	7
15	Real Casalnuovo	5	5	5	0	6
16	Aranova	5	5	5	0	6
17	Sarrabus Ogliastra	5	5	7	-2	5
18	Venafro	5	3	10	-7	1