Budoni vs Anzio Statistics & Analysis

Budoni

Sep 20, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.32

0 1.28

xG Accuracy: 58%

Anzio

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Budoni Budoni ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8676353

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Budoni win · Budoni 2–0 Anzio

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Serie D Girone G
Fixture: Budoni vs Anzio
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Budoni 1.32 — Anzio 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone G — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Paganese	4	3	1	0	10
2	Sarnese	4	3	1	0	10
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	4	3	0	1	9
4	Monastir	4	3	0	1	9
5	Unipomezia	4	2	1	1	7
6	Albalonga	4	2	1	1	7
7	Ossese	4	2	1	1	7
8	Trastevere	4	2	1	1	7
9	Real Casalnuovo	4	1	3	0	6
10	Aranova	4	1	2	1	5
11	Budoni	4	1	1	2	4
12	Anzio	4	1	1	2	4
13	Gelbison	4	1	1	2	4
14	Sarrabus Ogliastra	4	1	1	2	4
15	Città di Anagni	4	1	0	3	3
16	Latte Dolce	4	0	1	3	1
17	Atletico Lodigiani	4	0	1	3	1
18	Venafro	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Paganese	4	11	4	+7	10
2	Monastir	4	10	6	+4	9
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	4	7	1	+6	9
4	Sarnese	4	7	3	+4	10
5	Albalonga	4	7	5	+2	7
6	Unipomezia	4	6	3	+3	7
7	Budoni	4	6	6	0	4
8	Real Casalnuovo	4	5	1	+4	6
9	Ossese	4	5	3	+2	7
10	Trastevere	4	5	8	-3	7
11	Latte Dolce	4	5	10	-5	1
12	Atletico Lodigiani	4	5	11	-6	1
13	Aranova	4	4	4	0	5
14	Gelbison	4	4	6	-2	4
15	Anzio	4	3	4	-1	4
16	Sarrabus Ogliastra	4	3	5	-2	4
17	Città di Anagni	4	3	10	-7	3
18	Venafro	4	1	7	-6	1