Sarnese vs Budoni Statistics & Analysis

Sarnese

Sep 06, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.37

1 1.23

xG Accuracy: 79%

Budoni

Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Sarnese Sarnese ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 31, 2026 · 07:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6358953

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Sarnese win · Sarnese 2–1 Budoni

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Serie D Girone G
Fixture: Sarnese vs Budoni
Kickoff: 2026-09-06 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Sarnese 1.37 — Budoni 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 24, 2026 (UTC)

Esplora Altri Contenuti di Previsioni

Ottieni Previsioni Premium per Sarnese & Budoni!

Sblocca analisi approfondite, consigli esclusivi sulle scommesse e previsioni delle partite con il nostro servizio di abbonamento premium.

Iscriviti Ora

Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone G — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Paganese	4	3	1	0	10
2	Sarnese	4	3	1	0	10
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	4	3	0	1	9
4	Monastir	4	3	0	1	9
5	Unipomezia	4	2	1	1	7
6	Albalonga	4	2	1	1	7
7	Ossese	4	2	1	1	7
8	Trastevere	4	2	1	1	7
9	Real Casalnuovo	4	1	3	0	6
10	Aranova	4	1	2	1	5
11	Budoni	4	1	1	2	4
12	Anzio	4	1	1	2	4
13	Gelbison	4	1	1	2	4
14	Sarrabus Ogliastra	4	1	1	2	4
15	Città di Anagni	4	1	0	3	3
16	Latte Dolce	4	0	1	3	1
17	Atletico Lodigiani	4	0	1	3	1
18	Venafro	4	0	1	3	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Paganese	4	11	4	+7	10
2	Monastir	4	10	6	+4	9
3	Certosa V. Campagnano	4	7	1	+6	9
4	Sarnese	4	7	3	+4	10
5	Albalonga	4	7	5	+2	7
6	Unipomezia	4	6	3	+3	7
7	Budoni	4	6	6	0	4
8	Real Casalnuovo	4	5	1	+4	6
9	Ossese	4	5	3	+2	7
10	Trastevere	4	5	8	-3	7
11	Latte Dolce	4	5	10	-5	1
12	Atletico Lodigiani	4	5	11	-6	1
13	Aranova	4	4	4	0	5
14	Gelbison	4	4	6	-2	4
15	Anzio	4	3	4	-1	4
16	Sarrabus Ogliastra	4	3	5	-2	4
17	Città di Anagni	4	3	10	-7	3
18	Venafro	4	1	7	-6	1