Gravina vs Real Forio 2014 Statistics & Analysis

Gravina

Sep 20, 2026 - 12:30

2 1.43

2 1.17

xG Accuracy: 68%

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Real Forio 2014

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Gravina Pareggio ✖ Errato
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 2-2 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8675537

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Draw · Gravina 2–2 Real Forio 2014

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Serie D Girone H
Fixture: Gravina vs Real Forio 2014
Kickoff: 2026-09-20 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 41.4% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.3%
xG (showing): Gravina 1.43 — Real Forio 2014 1.17 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone H — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Virtus Francavilla	5	5	0	0	15
2	Bisceglie	5	4	0	1	12
3	Turris	5	3	2	0	11
4	Nocerina	5	3	1	1	10
5	Real Agro Aversa	5	3	1	1	10
6	Martina Franca	5	3	0	2	9
7	Manfredonia	5	2	2	1	8
8	Gravina	5	2	2	1	8
9	Real Forio 2014	5	2	1	2	7
10	Ebolitana	5	2	1	2	7
11	Gladiator	5	2	0	3	6
12	Brindisi	5	2	0	3	6
13	Nardò	5	1	2	2	5
14	Melfi	5	1	1	3	4
15	USD Palmese	5	1	1	3	4
16	Francavilla	5	1	0	4	3
17	Ischia	5	0	1	4	1
18	Fidelis Andria	5	0	1	4	1

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Bisceglie	5	11	5	+6	12
2	Martina Franca	5	11	7	+4	9
3	Nocerina	5	11	8	+3	10
4	Virtus Francavilla	5	10	4	+6	15
5	Real Agro Aversa	5	10	7	+3	10
6	Manfredonia	5	9	6	+3	8
7	Real Forio 2014	5	9	8	+1	7
8	Turris	5	8	4	+4	11
9	Gravina	5	8	5	+3	8
10	Gladiator	5	8	10	-2	6
11	Ischia	5	6	11	-5	1
12	Ebolitana	5	5	7	-2	7
13	Brindisi	5	5	8	-3	6
14	USD Palmese	5	5	10	-5	4
15	Fidelis Andria	5	4	10	-6	1
16	Francavilla	5	3	6	-3	3
17	Nardò	5	3	7	-4	5
18	Melfi	5	2	5	-3	4