Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Serie D Girone H / Real Forio 2014 vs Gladiator

Real Forio 2014 vs Gladiator Statistics & Analysis

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Real Forio 2014
Sep 16, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
Gladiator Gladiator
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
  • 1X2 Real Forio 2014 Real Forio 2014 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 08:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7884664

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Forio 2014 win · Real Forio 2014 2–1 Gladiator
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie D Girone H
  • Fixture: Real Forio 2014 vs Gladiator
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-16 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Real Forio 2014 1.32 — Gladiator 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D Girone H Serie D Girone H — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Virtus Francavilla 4 4 0 0 12
2 Bisceglie 4 3 0 1 9
3 Gravina 4 2 2 0 8
4 Turris 4 2 2 0 8
5 Real Agro Aversa 4 2 1 1 7
6 Real Forio 2014 4 2 1 1 7
7 Nocerina 4 2 1 1 7
8 Martina Franca 4 2 0 2 6
9 Gladiator 4 2 0 2 6
10 Manfredonia 4 1 2 1 5
11 Nardò 4 1 2 1 5
12 USD Palmese 4 1 1 2 4
13 Melfi 4 1 1 2 4
14 Ebolitana 4 1 1 2 4
15 Francavilla 4 1 0 3 3
16 Brindisi 4 1 0 3 3
17 Ischia 4 0 1 3 1
18 Fidelis Andria 4 0 1 3 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Real Agro Aversa 4 9 7 +2 7
2 Virtus Francavilla 4 8 3 +5 12
3 Bisceglie 4 8 4 +4 9
4 Gravina 4 8 4 +4 8
5 Real Forio 2014 4 8 6 +2 7
6 Martina Franca 4 8 7 +1 6
7 Nocerina 4 8 8 0 7
8 Manfredonia 4 7 5 +2 5
9 Gladiator 4 7 8 -1 6
10 Turris 4 6 4 +2 8
11 USD Palmese 4 5 7 -2 4
12 Ischia 4 5 8 -3 1
13 Ebolitana 4 4 7 -3 4
14 Brindisi 4 4 8 -4 3
15 Fidelis Andria 4 4 8 -4 1
16 Nardò 4 3 4 -1 5
17 Francavilla 4 3 5 -2 3
18 Melfi 4 2 4 -2 4