Ebolitana vs Bisceglie Statistics & Analysis

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Ebolitana

Sep 16, 2026 - 13:30

2 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 77%

Bisceglie

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 gol) ✖ Errato
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì Sì ✔ Corretto
1X2 Ebolitana Ebolitana ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Corretto

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 10, 2026 · 08:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7884584

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Ebolitana win · Ebolitana 2–1 Bisceglie

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Serie D Girone H
Fixture: Ebolitana vs Bisceglie
Kickoff: 2026-09-16 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Ebolitana 1.32 — Bisceglie 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone H — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Virtus Francavilla	6	5	0	1	15
2	Nocerina	6	4	1	1	13
3	Martina Franca	6	4	0	2	12
4	Bisceglie	6	4	0	2	12
5	Turris	6	3	3	0	12
6	Gravina	6	3	2	1	11
7	Manfredonia	6	3	2	1	11
8	Real Agro Aversa	6	3	1	2	10
9	Brindisi	6	3	0	3	9
10	Ebolitana	6	2	2	2	8
11	Real Forio 2014	6	2	1	3	7
12	Gladiator	6	2	1	3	7
13	USD Palmese	6	2	1	3	7
14	Nardò	6	1	2	3	5
15	Melfi	6	1	1	4	4
16	Fidelis Andria	6	1	1	4	4
17	Francavilla	6	1	0	5	3
18	Ischia	6	0	2	4	2

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Martina Franca	6	12	7	+5	12
2	Gravina	6	12	7	+5	11
3	Virtus Francavilla	6	12	8	+4	15
4	Nocerina	6	12	8	+4	13
5	Bisceglie	6	11	6	+5	12
6	Manfredonia	6	10	6	+4	11
7	Real Agro Aversa	6	10	10	0	10
8	Real Forio 2014	6	10	10	0	7
9	Turris	6	9	5	+4	12
10	Gladiator	6	9	11	-2	7
11	USD Palmese	6	9	12	-3	7
12	Brindisi	6	8	8	0	9
13	Ischia	6	7	12	-5	2
14	Ebolitana	6	6	8	-2	8
15	Fidelis Andria	6	6	11	-5	4
16	Nardò	6	5	11	-6	5
17	Francavilla	6	3	7	-4	3
18	Melfi	6	2	6	-4	4