Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Serie D Girone I / Gela vs Palermo

Gela vs Palermo Statistics & Analysis

Gela Gela
Oct 04, 2026 - 15:00
0 1.26
0 1.34
xG Accuracy: 49%
Palermo Palermo
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 gol) ✔ Corretto
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Palermo Pareggio ✖ Errato
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11671058

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Gela 0–0 Palermo
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Serie D Girone I
  • Fixture: Gela vs Palermo
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 37.0%
  • xG (showing): Gela 1.26 — Palermo 1.34 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Serie D Girone I Serie D Girone I — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 9
9 Palermo 6 2 2 2 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 8
11 Modica 6 2 1 3 7
12 Vigor Lamezia 6 1 2 3 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 4
14 Castrum Favara 6 1 1 4 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4
16 Ragusa 6 0 2 4 2
17 Trapani 1905 6 2 0 4 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 1
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Reggina 6 15 1 +14 15
2 Vibonese 6 15 5 +10 13
3 Igea Virtus 6 14 11 +3 11
4 Sambiase 6 10 5 +5 13
5 Palermo 6 9 8 +1 8
6 Nissa 6 9 9 0 8
7 Calcio Avola 6 9 10 -1 12
8 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 8 4 +4 9
9 Siracusa 6 8 5 +3 4
10 Licata 6 8 8 0 11
11 Vigor Lamezia 6 7 13 -6 5
12 Modica 6 6 5 +1 7
13 Castrum Favara 6 5 7 -2 4
14 Milazzo 6 5 8 -3 9
15 Gela 6 4 6 -2 4
16 Ragusa 6 4 9 -5 2
17 Trapani 1905 6 3 10 -7 1
18 Enna 6 0 15 -15 1
Serie D Girone I Italia. Serie D Girone I Pronostici