Alessandria vs Asti Statistics & Analysis

Alessandria

Sep 27, 2026 - 13:00

2 1.33

0 1.27

xG Accuracy: 59%

Asti

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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 gol) ✔ Corretto
Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
1X2 Alessandria Alessandria ✔ Corretto
Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10092742

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Alessandria win · Alessandria 2–0 Asti

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Serie D Girone A
Fixture: Alessandria vs Asti
Kickoff: 2026-09-27 13:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
xG (showing): Alessandria 1.33 — Asti 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Torna alle Statistiche

Serie D Girone A — Classifiche

#	SQUADRA	PG	V	P	S	PT
1	Alessandria	6	5	0	1	15
2	Biellese	6	4	2	0	14
3	Derthona	6	3	2	1	11
4	Ligorna	6	3	1	2	10
5	Asti	6	3	1	2	10
6	Gozzano	6	3	1	2	10
7	Saluzzo	6	2	3	1	9
8	Millesimo	6	3	0	3	9
9	Chisola	6	2	2	2	8
10	Imperia	6	2	2	2	8
11	Lascaris	6	2	2	2	8
12	Sanremese	6	2	2	2	8
13	Fezzanese	6	2	1	3	7
14	Sestri Levante	6	2	1	3	7
15	Borgosesia	6	1	3	2	6
16	Valenzana	6	1	1	4	4
17	Bra	5	0	2	3	2
18	Celle Varazze	5	0	0	5	0

#	SQUADRA	PG	GS	GC	+/-	PT
1	Biellese	6	12	5	+7	14
2	Alessandria	6	12	8	+4	15
3	Ligorna	6	11	10	+1	10
4	Saluzzo	6	9	6	+3	9
5	Chisola	6	9	7	+2	8
6	Sanremese	6	9	7	+2	8
7	Millesimo	6	8	6	+2	9
8	Asti	6	8	7	+1	10
9	Gozzano	6	8	7	+1	10
10	Derthona	6	7	6	+1	11
11	Imperia	6	7	6	+1	8
12	Fezzanese	6	7	7	0	7
13	Valenzana	6	7	10	-3	4
14	Sestri Levante	6	6	8	-2	7
15	Borgosesia	6	5	7	-2	6
16	Lascaris	6	4	7	-3	8
17	Bra	5	2	7	-5	2
18	Celle Varazze	5	1	11	-10	0