Statistiche / Calcio / Italia. Campionato Primavera 2 / Modena U19 vs Pro Vercelli Primavera

Modena U19 vs Pro Vercelli Primavera Statistics & Analysis

Modena U19 Modena U19
Sep 05, 2026 - 13:30
4 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 36%
Pro Vercelli Primavera Pro Vercelli Primavera
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Mercati tracciati vs risultato finale

Ogni riga confronta la tendenza del modello pre-partita con il risultato finale.

  • Mercato Previsione Risultato Esito
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 gol) ✖ Errato
  • Entrambe le Squadre Segnano Entrambe le squadre segnano (BTTS) Sì No ✖ Errato
  • 1X2 Modena U19 Modena U19 ✔ Corretto
  • Approfondimenti sul Risultato Esatto 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 4-0 ✖ Errato

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 02:11 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6140242

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Modena U19 win · Modena U19 4–0 Pro Vercelli Primavera
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Briefing AI della partita

Riepilogo AI della partita

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Campionato Primavera 2
  • Fixture: Modena U19 vs Pro Vercelli Primavera
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-05 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): Modena U19 1.42 — Pro Vercelli Primavera 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Raccomandazione Storica

Decisione Storica: No Primary Bet

Esito: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Fattori di Rischio Considerati Prima del Calcio d'Inizio

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Ultimo aggiornamento

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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Campionato Primavera 2 Campionato Primavera 2 — Classifiche
# SQUADRA PG V P S PT
1 Renate Primavera 3 2 1 0 7
1 Perugia Primavera 3 3 0 0 9
2 Vicenza Primavera 3 2 1 0 7
2 Catanzaro Primavera 3 3 0 0 9
3 Cremonese U19 3 2 0 1 6
3 Avellino Primavera 3 3 0 0 9
4 Virtus Entella U19 3 2 0 1 6
4 Bari Primavera 3 2 1 0 7
5 Padova Primavera 3 2 0 1 6
5 Palermo Primavera 3 2 1 0 7
6 Mantova U19 3 1 2 0 5
6 Benevento Primavera 3 2 0 1 6
7 Sampdoria U19 3 1 2 0 5
7 Spezia Primavera 3 1 1 1 4
8 Modena U19 3 1 1 1 4
8 Monopoli U19 3 1 1 1 4
9 Venezia Primavera 3 1 1 1 4
9 Pescara Primavera 3 1 1 1 4
10 Brescia Primavera 3 1 1 1 4
10 Latina U19 3 1 0 2 3
11 Cittadella Primavera 3 1 0 2 3
11 Pisa Primavera 3 1 0 2 3
12 Udinese Primavera 3 1 0 2 3
12 Ascoli Primavera 3 0 2 1 2
13 Sudtirol Primavera 3 0 2 1 2
13 Napoli U19 3 0 1 2 1
14 Reggiana U19 3 0 1 2 1
14 Frosinone Primavera 3 0 0 3 0
15 Pro Vercelli Primavera 3 0 1 2 1
15 Cosenza Primavera 3 0 0 3 0
16 Lecco U19 3 0 1 2 1
16 Salernitana Primavera 3 0 0 3 0
# SQUADRA PG GS GC +/- PT
1 Perugia Primavera 3 12 2 +10 9
2 Catanzaro Primavera 3 11 2 +9 9
3 Modena U19 3 10 8 +2 4
4 Benevento Primavera 3 9 3 +6 6
5 Avellino Primavera 3 8 3 +5 9
6 Renate Primavera 3 8 3 +5 7
7 Bari Primavera 3 8 3 +5 7
8 Palermo Primavera 3 8 5 +3 7
9 Cremonese U19 3 8 5 +3 6
10 Virtus Entella U19 3 8 5 +3 6
11 Cittadella Primavera 3 8 10 -2 3
12 Sampdoria U19 3 7 5 +2 5
13 Venezia Primavera 3 7 6 +1 4
14 Vicenza Primavera 3 6 1 +5 7
15 Padova Primavera 3 6 4 +2 6
16 Spezia Primavera 3 6 4 +2 4
17 Monopoli U19 3 6 5 +1 4
18 Pescara Primavera 3 6 6 0 4
19 Brescia Primavera 3 6 6 0 4
20 Latina U19 3 5 6 -1 3
21 Pisa Primavera 3 5 8 -3 3
22 Napoli U19 3 5 8 -3 1
23 Udinese Primavera 3 5 10 -5 3
24 Mantova U19 3 4 1 +3 5
25 Ascoli Primavera 3 4 5 -1 2
26 Frosinone Primavera 3 2 12 -10 0
27 Reggiana U19 3 1 4 -3 1
28 Lecco U19 3 1 8 -7 1
29 Cosenza Primavera 3 1 11 -10 0
30 Salernitana Primavera 3 1 14 -13 0
31 Sudtirol Primavera 3 0 3 -3 2
32 Pro Vercelli Primavera 3 0 6 -6 1